Understanding the Impact of Rising Treasury Yields on US Equity Markets
10 months ago

In the midst of midweek trading on Wednesday, US equity indexes experienced a decline as investors adopted a risk-off sentiment, which engulfed nearly all sectors. This trend occurred concurrently with a notable rise in government bond yields, influencing market dynamics significantly. The S&P 500 index fell by 0.8% to settle at 5,802.1.

Similarly, the Dow Jones Industrial Average saw a decrease of 0.9%, concluding the day at 42,550.2, while the Nasdaq Composite index recorded a 1.3% decline, landing at 18,323.5. Notably, in this downward trend, the only sectors that showed resilience were utilities and real estate, which managed to stay in positive territory throughout the day. As bond yields rose intraday, a significant factor influencing this movement was the yield on the 10-year Treasury, which increased by two basis points to reach 4.23%.

This marked the highest level of the yield since late July. The two-year Treasury yield also saw an uptick, advancing 2.8 basis points to 4.07%, its strongest performance since mid-August. These increases in yields have fostered unease among investors, who now harbor doubts about the Federal Reserve's future policies and whether they may not pivot away from a dovish stance as previously anticipated. A note from D.A.

Davidson highlighted this sentiment, indicating that investors are now waiting for the impending earnings reports that may provide further insights into the overall economic climate. In economic updates, the pace of existing-home sales in the US registered a 1% decrease in September, with a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.84 million sales, down from 3.88 million in August.

This data was released by the National Association of Realtors on Wednesday. When compared to the previous year, total sales dropped by 3.5%, revealing challenges in the housing market. From the corporate front, Enphase Energy ($ENPH) saw its shares plummet over 13% intraday, marking it as the worst performer on the S&P 500.

This decline was a direct result of a significant year-over-year decrease in its Q3 non-GAAP earnings and revenue, raising concerns among investors regarding its future performance. Additionally, CoStar Group ($CSGP) reported a downturn in its Q3 non-GAAP earnings, complemented by sales growth that fell short of market expectations.

This disappointment led to a reevaluation of the company’s full-year revenue guidance, which further resulted in its shares slipping over 9% during the same trading day, making it the steepest decliner on the Nasdaq. McDonald's ($MCD) experienced a significant drop of 5.3% in its share price during intraday trading.

This decline was attributed to concerns raised by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention regarding an ongoing E. coli outbreak in 10 states, which has been related to the popular Quarter Pounder burgers offered by the chain. The commodity sector also witnessed a slight decline, with West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices dropping by 1.1%, reaching $70.93 a barrel.

This fluctuation reflects the ongoing volatility in the energy market amidst changing economic signals..

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