Market Update: Key Indices and ETFs Reflect Investor Sentiment Ahead of Inflation Data
1 year ago

In a notable shift within the financial landscape, the widely regarded SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust ($SPY) saw an increase of 0.3%, while the Invesco QQQ Trust ($QQQ) experienced a modest rise of 0.2% during premarket trading on Thursday. This uptick came as investors braced themselves for pivotal inflation and labor market data, anticipated to play a crucial role in shaping expectations for a likely quarter-point interest rate cut in the upcoming week.

Concurrent to these developments, US stock futures indicated bullish sentiment, with the S&P 500 Index futures climbing 0.1%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gaining 0.2%, and Nasdaq futures reflecting a 0.1% increase prior to the commencement of standard trading hours. Market participants are keenly awaiting the release of the August producer price index and the weekly jobless claims report, both scheduled for 8:30 am ET.

Additionally, the weekly EIA domestic natural gas supplies bulletin is set to be unveiled at 10:30 am ET, which could provide insights into energy market trends. In other asset classes, Bitcoin made headlines with a 0.7% rise, complemented by the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF ($BITO), which garnered a 0.6% increase, reflecting a growing interest in cryptocurrency investments among traders.

**Power Play - Consumer Sector**: The Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund ($XLP) recorded a modest gain of 0.2%. In contrast, the Vanguard Consumer Staples Fund ($VDC) remained inactive, as did the iShares US Consumer Staples ETF ($IYK). Meanwhile, the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund ($XLY) faced a slight dip of 0.1%, while both the VanEck Retail ETF ($RTH) and the SPDR S&P Retail ETF ($XRT) were also inactive.

A significant development occurred with Caleres ($CAL) as its shares plummeted over 19% in premarket activity following disappointing Q2 fiscal results and a downward revision of its fiscal 2024 guidance. **Winners and Losers - Health Care**: The Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund ($XLV) edged up 0.2%.

However, the Vanguard Health Care Index Fund ($VHT) witnessed a decline of 1.8%, alongside the inactivity of the iShares US Healthcare ETF ($IYH) and the iShares Biotechnology ETF ($IBB). Notably, shares of Moderna ($MRNA) fell nearly 10% in premarket trading after the company announced a planned reduction of approximately $1.1 billion in annual R&D expenses starting in 2027, citing recent commercial challenges.

**Energy Insights**: In the energy sector, the iShares US Energy ETF ($IYE) remained inactive, but the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund ($XLE) enjoyed a rise of 0.6%. Conversely, Viper Energy ($VNOM) saw its stock decrease by 4.7% ahead of Thursday's market open, following an announcement of its public offering of 10 million Class A common shares priced at $42.50 each, an increase from an initial offering of 8.5 million shares.

**Technology Trends**: The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) improved by 0.1%, while the iShares US Technology ETF ($IYW) reflected a comparable uptick of 0.1%. The iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF ($IGM.US) remained inactive. Within the semiconductor space, the SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF ($XSD) dipped 0.4%, and the iShares Semiconductor ETF ($SOXX) fell by 0.1%.

Micron Technology ($MU) shares experienced a decline of 3.5% in the recent premarket trading session after BNP Paribas Exane downgraded its rating to underperform, while Raymond James lowered its price target from $160 to $125. **Industrial Overview**: The Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund ($XLI) rose by 0.3%.

The Vanguard Industrials Index Fund ($VIS) and the iShares US Industrials ETF (IYJ) remained inactive. Ryanair Holdings ($RYA) suffered a 2% decline before the market opened after a report from Bloomberg indicated that CEO Michael O'Leary suggested a potential 10% drop in ticket prices—an adjustment from the prior forecast of a 5% decrease.

**Financial Figures**: The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) increased by 0.3%. The Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares ($FAS.US) saw a rise of 0.7%, while its bearish counterpart, the Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares ($FAZ), declined by 0.8%. U.S. Bancorp ($USB) shares increased by 1.8% prior to the market opening, bolstered by the news of a $5 billion stock buyback plan authorized by the board, effective Friday, along with a 2% increase in the quarterly dividend.

**Commodities Insight**: In commodities, the front-month US West Texas Intermediate crude oil increased by 1.7%, reaching $68.44 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Natural gas saw a minor uptick of nearly 0.1%, trading at $2.27 per million British Thermal Units. The United States Oil Fund (USO) gained almost 2%, while the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) recorded a small decline of 0.1%.

Gold futures for December rose by 0.1%, reaching $2,544.20 per ounce on the Comex, while silver futures advanced by 0.5%, trading at $29.08 per ounce. Additionally, SPDR Gold Shares ($GLD) experienced a 0.2% increase, and iShares Silver Trust ($SLV) grew by 0.5%. In summary, the markets are poised for critical announcements regarding inflation and employment, which are anticipated to influence both trading strategies and investment decisions in the short term..

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