US Markets Rose as Presidential Election Results Awaited
1 month ago

US benchmark equity indexes closed higher Tuesday as traders anticipated the results of the presidential election. The Nasdaq Composite jumped 1.4% to 18,439.2, while the S&P 500 rose 1.2% to 5,782.8. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 1% to 42,221.9. All sectors experienced gains, led by consumer discretionary and industrials.

Americans are voting to choose the country's next president, with Democratic Party nominee and US Vice President Kamala Harris competing against Republican Party nominee and former President Donald Trump. Wall Street is observing key swing states, and the market is expected to experience fluctuations through uncertainty until a clear result is known.

It may take several days before the final outcome of the vote is revealed, analysts noted. 'The US presidential election will likely be decided by a few thousand voters across a handful of swing states,' stated Wells Fargo Investment Institute. The US two-year yield increased 2.1 basis points to 4.2%, while the 10-year rate lost 1.8 basis points, landing at 4.29%.

In economic updates, the US services sector saw sustained growth in October, as the Institute for Supply Management data indicated a faster growth rate sequentially, while S&P Global reported a slight deceleration. TD Economics commented, 'With measures of new orders and business activity still at healthy levels, the backbone of consumer spending is expected to remain a sturdy contributor to growth in the fourth quarter and into next year.' On Friday, data from ISM and S&P Global indicated that the US manufacturing sector continued in contraction territory last month amid output challenges.

The US trade deficit surged in September as goods imports increased while exports of both goods and services declined, based on government data released Tuesday. 'The election outcome could introduce upside risk to imports if importers preemptively adjust for potential tariff hikes in the event of a Trump presidency,' commented Oxford Economics.

West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose by 0.9% to $72.11 a barrel on Tuesday. In company news, shares of Palantir Technologies surged nearly 24%, making it the top performer on the S&P 500. Late Monday, the software company released stronger-than-expected third-quarter results and elevated its full-year outlook amid rising demand for artificial intelligence.

GlobalFoundries claimed the top gainer spot on the Nasdaq Tuesday, soaring 15% after presenting a third-quarter earnings beat. Conversely, Celanese shares plummeted 26%, positioning it as the worst performer on the S&P 500 following a disappointing third-quarter report on Monday. NXP Semiconductors shares dropped 5.2% on Tuesday, making it among the second steepest decliners on both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.

Late Monday, the company reported third-quarter results that fell short year-over-year, with a fourth-quarter outlook that missed analyst estimates. Gold increased 0.2% to $2,752.50 per troy ounce, while silver rose 0.5% to $32.76 per ounce..

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Economic Calendar

Manufacturing PMI
2025-01-02 02:45:00
Actual
50.5
Forecast
51.6
Previous
51.5

China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) provides an early indication of the economic activities in the Chinese manufacturing sector on a monthly basis.

Nationwide House Prices y/y
2025-01-02 08:00:00
Actual
4.7%
Forecast
3.8%
Previous
3.7%

Nationwide House Prices measure a change in value caused by inflation using a statistical method to construct an 'average house'.

Nationwide House Prices m/m
2025-01-02 08:00:00
Actual
0.7%
Forecast
0.1%
Previous
1.2%

Nationwide House Prices measure a change in value caused by inflation using a statistical method to construct an 'average house'.

Manufacturing PMI
2025-01-02 09:15:00
Actual
53.3
Forecast
53.6
Previous
53.1

Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is based on monthly questionnaire surveys of carefully selected companies which provide an advance indication of what is really happening in the private sector economy by tracking changes in variables such as output, new orders, stock levels, employment and prices across the manufacturing sector.

Riksbank Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
2025-01-02 09:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous

It's a detailed record of the Swedish Central Bank (Riksbank) Policy Board's meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced their decision on where to set interest rates.

Manufacturing PMI
2025-01-02 09:45:00
Actual
46.2
Forecast
44.9
Previous
44.5

Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is based on monthly questionnaire surveys of carefully selected companies which provide an advance indication of what is really happening in the private sector economy by tracking changes in variables such as output, new orders, stock levels, employment and prices across the manufacturing sector.

M3 Money Supply y/y
2025-01-02 10:00:00
Actual
3.8%
Forecast
3.5%
Previous
3.4%

M3 is a “broad” monetary aggregate that comprises M2 plus repurchase agreements, money market fund shares and units as well as debt securities with a maturity of up to two years.

Final Manufacturing PMI
2025-01-02 10:00:00
Actual
45.1
Forecast
45.2
Previous
45.2

Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is based on monthly questionnaire surveys of carefully selected companies which provide an advance indication of what is really happening in the private sector economy by tracking changes in variables such as output, new orders, stock levels, employment and prices across the manufacturing sector.

Private Loans y/y
2025-01-02 10:00:00
Actual
0.9%
Forecast
0.9%
Previous
0.8%

It measures the change in the total value of new loans issued to consumers and businesses in the private sector.

Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI
2025-01-02 10:30:00
Actual
47.0
Forecast
47.3
Previous
48.0

Manufacturing CIPS (The Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply): A monthly gauge of manufacturing activity and future outlook.

MBA Mortgage Applications
2025-01-02 13:00:00
Actual
-12.6%
Forecast
Previous
-0.7%

The Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey contains 15 indices covering application activity for fixed rate, adjustable rate, conventional and government loans for home purchases and refinances.

Initial Jobless Claims
2025-01-02 14:30:00
Actual
211 000
Forecast
220 000
Previous
219 000

Initial Jobless Claims is a report issued by the U.

Markit Flash U.S. Manufacturing PMI
2025-01-02 15:45:00
Actual
49.4
Forecast
48.3
Previous
49.7 R (48.3)

Markit Flash U.

Crude Oil Inventories
2025-01-02 17:00:00
Actual
415.6 M Barrels
Forecast
Previous
421.0 M Barrels

The Weekly Petroleum Status Report (WPSR) provides timely information on supply and prices of crude oil and principal petroleum products in the context of historical data and forecasts.

Bank Holiday
2025-01-02 23:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Unemployment Change
2025-01-03 09:55:00
Actual
Forecast
15 000
Previous
7 000

According to the definition of ILO, as concretised by the EU, any person aged between 15 and 74 years is considered unemployed if he/she was not employed in that period, but actively sought work over the four weeks preceding the survey.

Unemployment Rate
2025-01-03 09:55:00
Actual
Forecast
6.2%
Previous
6.1%

The Federal Employment Agency, counts persons as job-seekers who are registered as unemployed with the employment agencies, are temporarily without a job or perform just a marginal part-time work (i.

M4 Money Supply m/m
2025-01-03 10:30:00
Actual
Forecast
0.1%
Previous
-0.1%

The Broad money aggregate M4 measures the change in the cash outside banks (i.

Mortgage Approvals
2025-01-03 10:30:00
Actual
Forecast
69.00
Previous
68.30

Lending to individuals consists of sterling lending secured on dwellings (i.

ISM Manufacturing
2025-01-03 16:00:00
Actual
Forecast
48.3
Previous
48.4

The Manufacturing ISM Report On Business is based on data compiled from purchasing and supply executives nationwide.

Natural Gas Storage
2025-01-03 16:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
3529 BCF

This report tracks U.

Fed's Barkin Speaks
2025-01-03 17:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous

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