US Markets Rally Ahead of Presidential Election Results
4 months ago

US benchmark equity indexes experienced positive momentum on Tuesday as traders anticipated the outcome of the presidential election. The Nasdaq Composite surged 1.4% to 18,439.2, while the S&P 500 increased by 1.2% to 5,782.8. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced, gaining 1% to reach 42,221.9.

All sectors marked gains, with consumer discretionary and industrials leading the charge. Voting across the nation saw Americans selecting the next president, with Democratic Party nominee and current US Vice President Kamala Harris vying against Republican nominee and former President Donald Trump. Wall Street analysts are keeping a close eye on pivotal swing states, as market fluctuations are expected until a definitive result emerges.

The timeline for clarity on the voting outcome could extend over several days, analysts indicated. "The US presidential election likely will be decided by a few thousand voters across a handful of swing states," stated Wells Fargo Investment Institute. In bond markets, the US two-year yield rose 2.1 basis points to 4.2%, whereas the 10-year rate experienced a decline of 1.8 basis points, landing at 4.29%. In economic updates, the US services sector showcased continued expansion in October, with data from the Institute for Supply Management revealing a sequential uptick in growth rates.

Conversely, S&P Global indicated minor deceleration in certain areas. "With measures of new orders and business activity still at healthy levels, the backbone of consumer spending is likely to remain a sturdy contributor to growth in the fourth quarter and into next year," asserted TD Economics. On Friday, data from ISM and S&P Global highlighted that the US manufacturing sector remained in contraction last month due to output weaknesses. The trade deficit widened in September, driven by rising goods imports while both goods and services exports experienced declines, according to newly released government data. "The election's outcome could potentially increase import risks if importers anticipate possible tariff hikes in a Trump presidency," noted Oxford Economics. In energy markets, West Texas Intermediate crude oil climbed 0.9% to $72.11 a barrel. In company news, Palantir Technologies saw its shares soar nearly 24%, marking it as the best performer on the S&P 500.

The software firm reported stronger-than-expected third-quarter results, revising its annual outlook upward due to escalating demand for artificial intelligence solutions. On the Nasdaq, GlobalFoundries emerged as the top gainer on Tuesday, escalating by 15% following a significant third-quarter performance. Conversely, Celanese's shares plummeted 26%, making it the worst-performer on the S&P 500 after a disappointing third-quarter report released late Monday. NXP Semiconductors faced a decline of 5.2% on Tuesday, ranking among the steepest losers on both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq after reporting third-quarter results that fell short compared to the previous year, along with a weakened fourth-quarter outlook. Gold prices increased by 0.2%, trading at $2,752.50 per troy ounce, while silver gained 0.5% to reach $32.76 per ounce..

calendar_month
Economic Calendar

Fed's Barkin Speaks
2025-03-07 01:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Trade Balance
2025-03-07 04:00:00
Actual
Forecast
143.10 B US dollars
Previous
104.84 B US dollars

The Trade Balance is the difference between the monetary value of exports and imports in an economy over a certain period of time.

HBOS House Prices m/m
2025-03-07 08:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
0.7%

Halifax is the UK's largest mortgage lender and conducts a wide range of housing research including the long standing Halifax House Price Index.

HBOS House Prices y/y
2025-03-07 08:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
3.0%

Halifax is the UK's largest mortgage lender and conducts a wide range of housing research including the long standing Halifax House Price Index.

Factory Orders m/m
2025-03-07 08:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
6.9%

The total of orders received comprises the value (excluding turnover tax) of all orders definitely accepted by the local units in manufacturing with 50 employees and over in the respective reference month.

Manufacturing Production m/m
2025-03-07 08:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
3.2%

The primary goal of the Production Index is to monitor the development of added value (production minus intermediate consumption) in the industries.

Current Account
2025-03-07 08:45:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
2.4 B EUR

It measures economic transactions of an economy with the rest of the world, for a specific time period.

Trade Balance
2025-03-07 08:45:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
-3.9 B EUR

It measures the difference between imports and exports data in billions of EUR.

Industrial Production y/y
2025-03-07 09:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
2.1%

The Industrial Production Index (IPI) is a situational indicator that measures the monthly development of productive activity of industrial branches, excluding construction.

Employment y/y
2025-03-07 11:00:00
Actual
Forecast
0.6%
Previous
1.0%

Employment consists of both employees and self-employed, who are engaged in some productive activity that falls within the production boundary of the system.

Employment q/q
2025-03-07 11:00:00
Actual
Forecast
0.1%
Previous
0.2%

Employment consists of both employees and self-employed, who are engaged in some productive activity that falls within the production boundary of the system.

Final Gross Domestic Product q/q
2025-03-07 11:00:00
Actual
Forecast
0.1%
Previous
0.4%

Gross domestic product (GDP) is a measure for the economic activity.

Average Hourly Earnings m/m
2025-03-07 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
0.3%
Previous
0.5%

Average hourly earnings series, derived by dividing gross payrolls by total hours, reflect the actual earnings of workers, including premium pay.

Average Weekly Hours
2025-03-07 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
34.2 hours
Previous
34.1 hours

Total hours during the pay period include all hours worked (including overtime hours), hours paid for standby or reporting time, and equivalent hours for which employees received pay directly from the employer for sick leave, holidays, vacations, and other leave.

Change in Non-Farm Payrolls
2025-03-07 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
133 000
Previous
143 000

The Current Employment Statistics (CES) program, also known as the payroll survey or the establishment survey, is a monthly sample of nearly 400 000 business establishments nationwide.

Unemployment Rate
2025-03-07 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
4.0%
Previous
4.0%

People are classified as unemployed if they meet all of the following criteria: They had no employment during the reference week; they were available for work at that time; and they made specific efforts to find employment sometime during the 4-week period ending with the reference week.

Capacity Utilization Rate
2025-03-07 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
79.3%

The industrial capacity utilization rate is the ratio of an industry's actual output to its estimated potential output.

Unemployment Rate
2025-03-07 14:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
6.6%

The Labour Force Survey (LFS) is a monthly survey involving around 50 000 Canadian households.

Fed's Williams Speaks
2025-03-07 16:45:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Fed Chair Powell speaks
2025-03-07 18:30:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous

Jerome Powell succeeded Janet Yellen as Chairperson of the US Federal Reserve in February 2018 for a four-year term.

Consumer Credit
2025-03-07 20:00:00
Actual
Forecast
Previous
40.85 B USD

It covers most short - and intermediate-term credit extended to individuals, excluding loans secured by real estate.

Cookie Settings

We use cookies to deliver and improve our services, analyze site usage, and if you agree, to customize or personalize your experience and market our services to you. You can read our Cookie Policy here.